Model Study
The full 2025 regular season, stripped down to the signals behind the total.
This is a simpler historical page: final score, model total, how far off the projection was, and the pace and rest inputs that shaped the read.
Table
The actual total, the projected total, and the context that sat underneath it.
| Date | Matchup | Season phase | Game shape | Travel | Altitude | Recent avg total | Model | Final | Difference | Model vs final | Away pace | Home pace | Poss. | Away pts | Home pts | Away rest | Home rest |
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